Aptamers: still looking for euphoria in the wrong places

I admit to doing a spit-take when I saw the title of this article: Aptamers as Therapeutic Agents: Has the Initial Euphoria Subsided?. At this stage in the game, with only one aptamer therapeutic cleared and it having perennially weak sales, that question mark in the title seems more than a bit out of date. Read More …

Are pharma profits excessive?

From Quora: “Excessive” is loaded term. Worse, it’s subjective and difficult to define. Let’s see if we can put it into some kind of context or framework that permits a useful discussion. Congress, always sensitive to public resentment over drug prices, had the GAO do a study on drug company profitability. The 1-page summary, which you should definitely Read More …

How did Elizabeth Holmes acquire such a long leash?

A truism among early-stage investors is that “you don’t invest in technologies, you invest in people”. The idea is that a smart, resourceful team will find a way to succeed, even if their technology crashes hard on the rocks of reality. Great leaders, the thinking goes, will always find a way forward. That’s not a Read More …

Antibiotic research – new advance powered by annoying jerks?

Most news about the science and business of antibiotic development is bad. Major pharmas continue to drop their antibiotic R&D programs. Those that remain are not being rewarded: of the 16 antibiotics approved 2000-2017, only 5 had sales of more than $100M. That might seem like a lot of money to you or me, but Read More …

Do Right to Try Laws allow reimbursement for experimental therapies?

The federal RTT legislation, which you can read here, makes no reference to payments of any kind, except to state that a referring physician can not be compensated directly by the drug manufacturer. Indirect is just fine. I wonder if drug companies could possibly figure out ways to pay doctors indirectly? [1] Payments are not forbidden, Read More …

Is curing patients a sustainable business model?

In its own uniquely perverse way, the stock market turns good news into bad once again. Gilead’s Hepatitis C drugs – Sovaldi and Harvoni – had the most successful drug launches ever. And with good reason – unlike the “breakthrough” cancer drugs you read about, these drugs actually cure a serious and widespread disease. Although Read More …

Are investors overvaluing AI in drug discovery?

Business Insider: AI Startup Valued at $2B Probably. After all, most ventures fail. Tech investors, like bidders at an auction, are subject to the Winner’s Curse: those who err on the side of too much optimism are willing to pay more than those who calculate the risk/reward ratio correctly. They win the auction by overpaying. From Read More …

Can biotechs survive if the US goes to single-payer?

Of course they will. The more interesting question is whether they should. Or at least, whether it would be a loss to society if many did not. The assumption implied in this question is that high profits from US sales are needed to finance R&D to bring innovative, life-saving medicines to the rest of the world. But Read More …